A look at potential best- and worst-case scenarios for each party in today’s South Australian state election.
SA Votes 2022
Improving Seat Forecasts Made Using The Uniform Swing Model
How data from older elections can help, and why our forecast differs from a uniform swing in its prognostications for Colton and Hartley.
How our South Australian state model works (Bornite 2022)
We’ve built a forecast for the 2022 South Australian state election. Some background on the election, and how our model works.