An analysis of how the seat vote model in Meridiem performed, and some analysis of possible areas of improvement for election modelling.
WA Votes 2021
Which areas drove the swing to Labor in WA 2021?
In the recent 2021 Western Australian state election, the Labor government won a massive swing to them, winning a record 69.7% of the two-party-preferred vote. Here, we examine factors which correlate with the size of the swing in various districts.
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How Meridiem performed – Part I
An analysis of how Meridiem 2021 performed on the metrics we previously set out, comparing it to the Basic model and summarising possible areas of improvement.
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Upside/Downside: WA 2021
A look at potential best- and worst-case scenarios for each party at Saturday’s Western Australian state election.
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How we intend to judge our WA 2021 forecast
In a spirit of pre-registration, here’s how we intend to judge the performance of our WA 2021 forecast (Meridiem 2021).
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How our Western Australia state model works (Meridiem 2021)
We’ve built a forecast for the 2021 Western Australian state election. Here’s the in-depth technical detail on how it works.
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