Polling skew - Armarium Interreta

Why Theories of Polling Bias Don’t Make Sense

Everyone who works on polling and polling analysis is actively incentivized to forecast election results as accurately as possible; and even if they weren’t, influencing public opinion isn’t as easy as it may seem.

Is There A Shy Tory Effect In Australian Polling?

Examining whether Australian polls tend to under-estimate support for conservative parties and causes, as well as determining if any effects are due to “shy Tories” or to sampling issues.