How it works - Armarium Interreta

How our Model of Preference Distribution Works (and How Accurate Is it?)

The gory detail of how we model distributions of preferences to produce three-candidate-preferred (3cp) estimates for our 3cp explorer, among other things.

How our South Australian state model works (Bornite 2022)

We’ve built a forecast for the 2022 South Australian state election. Some background on the election, and how our model works.

How our Western Australia state model works (Meridiem 2021)

We’ve built a forecast for the 2021 Western Australian state election. Here’s the in-depth technical detail on how it works.