Forecast - Armarium Interreta

How our South Australian state model works (Bornite 2022)

We’ve built a forecast for the 2022 South Australian state election. Some background on the election, and how our model works.

How Meridiem performed – Part II

An analysis of how the seat vote model in Meridiem performed, and some analysis of possible areas of improvement for election modelling.

How Meridiem performed – Part I

An analysis of how Meridiem 2021 performed on the metrics we previously set out, comparing it to the Basic model and summarising possible areas of improvement.

How we intend to judge our WA 2021 forecast

In a spirit of pre-registration, here’s how we intend to judge the performance of our WA 2021 forecast (Meridiem 2021).

How our Western Australia state model works (Meridiem 2021)

We’ve built a forecast for the 2021 Western Australian state election. Here’s the in-depth technical detail on how it works.