5 - 2021 - Armarium Interreta

Pandemic Economics: The Curious Case of Uncostly Debt

Why COVID is not going to cost you that much. Nor will it cost your children. In fact, why it’s the cheapest debt we’ve ever taken on.

Addendum: Pollster Herding and Sample Bias

If polls herd as much as they did in 2019, weighting by education isn’t necessarily going to save them.

Pandemic Politics: Incumbent Governments Voting Intention

Although most incumbent governments saw a big boost in their vote in the first month of the pandemic, we show that the pandemic bounce has completely faded for most incumbents.

How would optional preferential voting have affected federal elections?

One of the Joint Standing Committee on Electoral Matters’ (JSCEM) recommendations following the 2019 Australian federal election was the introduction of Optional Preferential Voting (OPV). Here, we model how the introduction of OPV would have affected the outcomes of recent federal elections.